MEDIA SENTIMENT AND RISK EXPOSURE: COMPARATIVE INSIGHTS FROM ISLAMIC AND CONVENTIONAL BANKS IN INDONESIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.23969/trikonomika.v25i1.42008Keywords:
capital adequacy ratio, Loan, Banking Risk, Media SentimentAbstract
This study examines how economic and political media sentiment influences risk mitigation policies in Islamic and conventional banks in Indonesia. Using monthly banking data from 2012 to 2023 and content analysis of online news, the study applies regression analysis to assess the effects of media sentiment on capital adequacy, loan distribution, and loan loss reserves. The findings show that economic media sentiment significantly affects banks’ capital strength, lending behavior, and provisioning policies, whereas political media sentiment has no significant influence on risk management decisions. The results indicate that banks respond more strongly to economic narratives than political discourse when developing risk and credit strategies. This study contributes to the banking and finance literature by providing comparative evidence from a dual-banking system and highlighting the importance of incorporating economic media sentiment into risk management and financial stability frameworks.
Downloads
References
Aldasoro, I., Beltrán, P., Grinberg, F., & Mancini-Griffoli, T. (2023). The Macro-Financial Effects of International Bank Lending on Emerging Markets. Journal of International Economics, 142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103733
Alsharif, M. (2021). Risk, Efficiency and Capital in A Dual Banking Industry: Evidence From GCC Banks. Managerial Finance, 47(8), 1213–1232. https://doi.org/10.1108/MF-10-2020-0529
Baek, C., Baek, S., & Glambosky, M. (2024). Macroeconomic Impact and Stock Returns’ Vulnerability by Size, Solvency, and Financial Distress. Finance Research Letters, 59(November 2023), 104718. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104718
Basak, S., Dey, B., & Bhattacharyya, B. (2023). Uncertainty-based Dynamic Economic Dispatch for Diverse Load and Wind Profiles Using A Novel Hybrid Algorithm. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 25(5), 4723-4763.
Cai, L. (2023). Equity Incentive, Political Connection and Bank Loan in Private Enterprises. Finance Research Letters, 56(March), 104042. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104042
Canta, C., Nilsen, Ø. A., & Ulsaker, S. A. (2023). Competition and Risk Taking in Local Bank Markets: Evidence from The Business Loans Segment. Journal of Empirical Finance, 73(May), 153–169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.06.003
Chen, W. Da, Chen, Y., & Huang, S. C. (2021). Liquidity Risk and Bank Performance During Financial Crises. Journal of Financial Stability, 56(December 2020), 100906. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100906
Chen, T., Chiu, P. C., & Wang, Y. (2024). Media Sentiment and Management Earnings Forecasts: Evidence from China. Finance Research Letters, 60(November 2023), 104865. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104865
Chernykh, L., Davydov, D., & Sihvonen, J. (2023). Financial Stability and Public Confidence in Banks. Journal of Financial Stability, 69(September), 101187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2023.101187
Danisman, G. O., & Tarazi, A. (2024). Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bank Stability: Size, Capital, and Liquidity Matter. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 93(November 2023), 102–118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2023.11.008
Degryse, H., & Huylebroek, C. (2023). Fiscal Support and Banks’ Loan Loss Provisions during The COVID-19 Crisis. Journal of Financial Stability, 67(February 2022), 101150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2023.101150
Dibooglu, S., Cevik, E. I., & Tamimi, H. A. H. Al. (2022). Credit Default Risk in Islamic and Conventional Banks: Evidence from A GARCH Option Pricing Model. Economic Analysis and Policy, 75, 396–411. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2022.06.006
Du, H., Hao, J., He, F., & Xi, W. (2022). Media Sentiment and Cross-Sectional Stock Returns in The Chinese Stock Market. Research in International Business and Finance, 60(December 2021), 101590. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101590
Fang, Y., Wang, Q., Wang, Y., & Yuan, Y. (2022). Media Sentiment and Bank Systemic Risk Evidence from China. SSRN Electronic Journal, 91(September 2022), 1150–1172. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4232909
Fungacova, Z., Schoors, K., Solanko, L., & Weill, L. (2023). Staying on top: Political Cycles in Private Bank Lending. Journal of Comparative Economics, 51(3), 899–917. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2023.03.003
Gao, Z., Hua, M., Liu, H., & Yan, C. (2023). News Sentiment and CEO Retirement: The Impact on Firm Performance and Risk. Research in International Business and Finance, 66(February 2022), 102031. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102031
Harkati, R., Alhabshi, S. M., & Kassim, S. (2020). Does Capital Adequacy Ratio Influence Risk-Taking Behaviour of Conventional and Islamic Banks Differently? Empirical Evidence from Dual Banking System of Malaysia. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 11(9), 1989–2015. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-11-2019-0212
Jabari, H. N., & Muhamad, R. (2022). Diversity and Risk Taking in Islamic Banks: Does Public Listing Matter? Borsa Istanbul Review, 22(3), 546–559. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2021.07.003
Jia, Z., Li, D., Shi, Y., & Xing, L. (2023). Firm-Level Media News, Bank Loans, and The Role of Institutional Environments. Journal of Corporate Finance, 83, 102491. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2023.102491
Jiang, H., Xu, S., Cui, J., & Subhani, G. (2023). The Impact of Bank Capital, Liquidity and Funding Liquidity on Sustainable Bank Lending: Evidence from MENA Region. Economic Analysis and Policy, 79, 713–726. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2023.06.043
Juelsrud, R. E., & Larsen, V. H. (2023). Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Bank Lending. Economics Letters, 225, 111041. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111041
Kabir, M. N., Worthington, A., & Gupta, R. (2015). Comparative Credit Risk in Islamic and Conventional Bank. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 34, 327–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2015.06.001
Kitagawa, N. (2021). Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Management Forecast Accuracy. Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, 17(3), 100281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcae.2021.100281
Klayme, T., Gokmenoglu, K. K., & Rustamov, B. (2023). Economic Policy Uncertainty, COVID-19 and Corporate Investment: Evidence from The Gold Mining Industry. Resources Policy, 85(PA), 103787. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103787
Le, H. N. Q., Nguyen, T. V. H., & Schinckus, C. (2022). Bank Lending Behaviour and Macroeconomic Factors: A Study from Strategic Interaction Perspective. Heliyon, 8(11), e11906. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11906
Leung, W. S., Taylor, N., & Evans, K. P. (2015). The Determinants of Bank Risks: Evidence from The Recent Financial Crisis. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 34, 277–293. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2014.11.012
Li, T., Chen, H., Liu, W., Yu, G., & Yu, Y. (2023). Understanding The Role of Social Media Sentiment in Identifying Irrational Herding Behavior in the Stock Market. International Review of Economics and Finance, 87(April), 163–179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2023.04.016
Matabaro Borauzima, L., & Muller, A. (2022). Bank Risk-Taking and Competition in Developing Banking Markets: Does Efficiency Level Matter? Evidence from Africa. Emerging Markets Review, xxxx, 100963. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2022.100963
Mawardi, I., Al Mustofa, M. U., Widiastuti, T., Fanani, S., Bakri, M. H., Hanafi, Z., & Robani, A. (2024). Comparative Stability Analysis of Indonesian Banks: Markov Switching—Dynamic Regression for Islamic and Conventional Sectors. PLOS ONE, 19(4), e0301398. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0301398
Mohd Isa, M. Y., & Abdul Rashid, M. Z. H. (2018). Regulatory Capital Funds and Risk-Sharing Behavior in Distressed Financial Conditions: An Empirical Analysis on Islamic Banks in Malaysia. Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting, 16(1), 197–216. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFRA-06-2015-0066
Muchtar, M., & Amalia, E. (2025). The Financial Performance of Bank Syariah Indonesia : Pre- And Post-Merger. Trikonomika, 23(1), 39–48.
Naouar, A., Boulanouar, Z., & Grassa, R. (2024). Islamic Banks and Capital Buffer Behavior: A View from The Gulf Cooperation Council Markets. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 83(March 2023), 102257. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102257
OJK. (2025). Siaran Pers: Industri Perbankan Syariah Tumbuh Solid Berkelanjutan.
Qudah, H. A. A. L. (2021). Credit Risks Measurement in Islamic Banks Study Model. Journal of Sustainable Finance and Investment. https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2021.1891783
Riahi, Y. M. (2019). How to Explain The Liquidity Risk by The Dynamics of Discretionary Loan Loss Provisions and Non-Performing Loans? The Impact of the Global Crisis. Managerial Finance, 45(2), 244–262. https://doi.org/10.1108/MF-12-2017-0520
Rogmann, J., Beckmann, J., Gaschler, R., & Landmann, H. (2024). Media Sentiment Emotions and Consumer Energy Prices. Energy Economics, 130(July 2023), 107278. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2023.107278
Saad, N. M., & Ayuniyyah, Q. (2026). Prospects and Challenges of Musharakah and Musharakah Mutanaqisah Financing in Islamic Microfinance: Case Studies of Indonesia and Malaysia. AL-MUZARA’AH: Journal of Islamic Economics, 14(1), 103–119. https://doi.org/10.29244/jam.14.1.103-119
Setiawan, A. (2023). The Future of Islamic Banking and Finance in Indonesia: Performance, Risk and Regulation (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003393986
Singha, K., & Singh, M. A. (2022). Political Stability and Its Effect on Economy: Some Lessons from Sikkim Himalaya. Journal of Social and Economic Development, 24(2), 340–354. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40847-022-00199-9
Syathiri, A., Anshori, M., & Sukmana, R. (2020). Determinant of Indonesian Islamic and Conventional Banks’ Profitability. Industrial Engineering and Management Systems, 19(3), 538–542. https://doi.org/10.7232/iems.2020.19.3.538
Thach, N., & Huy, D. (2021). Risk Management Under Impacts of Macro Economic Factors Ina Big Seafood Ex-Import Firm -Angiang Fisheries Ex-Import Jsc. In Vietnam. Management, 25(1), 172–185. https://doi.org/10.2478/manment-2019-0065
Timur, Y. P., Ridlwan, A. A., Fikriyah, K., Susilowati, F. D., Canggih, C., & Nurafini, F. (2024). How Should Bank Syariah Indonesia Respond to Cyber-Attacks ? Churn, Sentiments, and Emotions Analysis with Machine Learning. Journal of Islamic Economics Lariba, 10(1), 439–470.
Trinugroho, I., Santoso, W., Irawanto, R., & Pamungkas, P. (2021). Is Spin-Off Policy an Effective Way to Improve Performance of Islamic Banks ? Evidence from Indonesia. Research in International Business and Finance, 56(September 2020), 101352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101352
Vo, N. N. T., Nguyen, T. V. H., & Phan, D. H. T. (2022). Earnings Management and Bank Risk-Taking Behavior in Asia-Pacific Region. Research in International Business and Finance, 63(October), 101785. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101785
Yang, X., Zhang, Q., Liu, H., Liu, Z., Tao, Q., Lai, Y., & Huang, L. (2024). Economic Policy Uncertainty, Macroeconomic Shocks, and Systemic Risk: Evidence from China. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 69(PA), 102032. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2023.102032
Zainuldin, M. H., & Lui, T. K. (2020). Earnings Management in Financial Institutions: A Comparative Study of Islamic Banks and Conventional Banks in Emerging Markets. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2018.07.005
Zhang, Z., & Dai, L. (2023). The Bank Loan Distribution Effect of Government Spending Expansion: Evidence from China. International Review of Financial Analysis, 89(December 2022), 102778. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102778
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Ahmad Syathiri, Suhel, Yos Karimudin

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.









